and the generating function of $\varphi (u+1)$ are set up. We assume that $u\in \mathbb{N}\cup \{0\}$, $\kappa \in \mathbb{N}$, the random walk $\{{\textstyle\sum _{i=1}^{n}}{X_{i}},\hspace{0.1667em}n\in \mathbb{N}\}$ involves $N\in \mathbb{N}$ periodically occurring distributions, and the integer-valued and nonnegative random variables ${X_{1}},{X_{2}},\dots $ are independent. This research generalizes two recent works where $\{\kappa =1,N\in \mathbb{N}\}$ and $\{\kappa \in \mathbb{N},N=1\}$ were considered respectively. The provided sequence of sums $\{{\textstyle\sum _{i=1}^{n}}({X_{i}}-\kappa ),\hspace{0.1667em}n\in \mathbb{N}\}$ generates the so-called multi-seasonal discrete-time risk model with arbitrary natural premium and its known distribution enables to compute the ultimate time ruin probability $1-\varphi (u)$ or survival probability $\varphi (u)$. The obtained theoretical statements are verified in several computational examples where the values of the survival probability $\varphi (u)$ and its generating function are provided when $\{\kappa =2,\hspace{0.1667em}N=2\}$, $\{\kappa =3,\hspace{0.1667em}N=2\}$, $\{\kappa =5,\hspace{0.1667em}N=10\}$ and ${X_{i}}$ adopts the Poisson and some other distributions. The conjecture on the nonsingularity of certain matrices is posed.
Finite mixtures with different regression models for different mixture components naturally arise in statistical analysis of biological and sociological data. In this paper a model of mixtures with varying concentrations is considered in which the mixing probabilities are different for different observations. A modified local linear estimation (mLLE) technique is developed to estimate the regression functions of the mixture component nonparametrically. Consistency of the mLLE is demonstrated. Performance of mLLE and a modified Nadaraya–Watson estimator (mNWE) is assessed via simulations. The results confirm that the mLLE technique overcomes the boundary effect typical to the NWE.
A novel theoretical result on estimation of the local time and the occupation time measure of an α-stable Lévy process with $\alpha \in (1,2)$ is presented. The approach is based upon computing the conditional expectation of the desired quantities given high frequency data, which is an ${L^{2}}$-optimal statistic by construction. The corresponding stable central limit theorems are proved and a statistical application is discussed. In particular, this work extends the results of [20], which investigated the case of the Brownian motion.
In the Karlin infinite occupancy scheme, balls are thrown independently into an infinite array of boxes $1,2,\dots $ , with probability ${p_{k}}$ of hitting the box k. For $j,n\in \mathbb{N}$, denote by ${\mathcal{K}_{j}^{\ast }}(n)$ the number of boxes containing exactly j balls provided that n balls have been thrown. Small counts are the variables ${\mathcal{K}_{j}^{\ast }}(n)$, with j fixed. The main result is a law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for the small counts as the number of balls thrown becomes large. Its proof exploits a Poissonization technique and is based on a new LIL for infinite sums of independent indicators ${\textstyle\sum _{k\ge 1}}{1_{{A_{k}}(t)}}$ as $t\to \infty $, where the family of events ${({A_{k}}(t))_{t\ge 0}}$ is not necessarily monotone in t. The latter LIL is an extension of a LIL obtained recently by Buraczewski, Iksanov and Kotelnikova (2023+) in the situation when ${({A_{k}}(t))_{t\ge 0}}$ forms a nondecreasing family of events.
A time continuous statistical model of chirp signal observed against the background of stationary Gaussian noise is considered in the paper. Asymptotic normality of the LSE for parameters of such a sinusoidal regression model is obtained.
The paper presents an analytical proof demonstrating that the Sandwiched Volterra Volatility (SVV) model is able to reproduce the power-law behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility skew, provided the correct choice of the Volterra kernel. To obtain this result, the second-order Malliavin differentiability of the volatility process is assessed and the conditions that lead to explosive behavior in the Malliavin derivative are investigated. As a supplementary result, a general Malliavin product rule is proved.
The existence of density function of the running maximum of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by a Brownian motion and a nontruncated pure-jump process is verified. This is proved by the existence of density function of the running maximum of the Wiener–Poisson functionals resulting from Bismut’s approach to the Malliavin calculus for jump processes.
A necessary and sufficient condition on a sequence ${\{{\mathcal{A}_{n}}\}_{n\in \mathbb{N}}}$ of σ-subalgebras which assures convergence almost everywhere of conditional expectations for functions in ${L^{\infty }}$ is given. It is proven that for $f\in {L^{\infty }}(\mathcal{A})$
The existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution are proved for the system of stochastic differential equations describing a two-species Lotka–Volterra mutualism model disturbed by white noise, centered and noncentered Poisson noises. For the considered system, sufficient conditions of stochastic ultimate boundedness, stochastic permanence, nonpersistence and strong persistence in the mean are obtained.