The discrete time risk model with two seasons and dependent claims is considered. An algorithm is created for computing the values of the ultimate ruin probability. Theoretical results are illustrated with numerical examples.
The generalized mean-square fractional integrals ${\mathcal{J}_{\rho ,\lambda ,u+;\omega }^{\sigma }}$ and ${\mathcal{J}_{\rho ,\lambda ,v-;\omega }^{\sigma }}$ of the stochastic process X are introduced. Then, for Jensen-convex and strongly convex stochastic proceses, the generalized fractional Hermite–Hadamard inequality is establish via generalized stochastic fractional integrals.
The nonlocal porous medium equation considered in this paper is a degenerate nonlinear evolution equation involving a space pseudo-differential operator of fractional order. This space-fractional equation admits an explicit, nonnegative, compactly supported weak solution representing a probability density function. In this paper we analyze the link between isotropic transport processes, or random flights, and the nonlocal porous medium equation. In particular, we focus our attention on the interpretation of the weak solution of the nonlinear diffusion equation by means of random flights.
Fractional equations governing the distribution of reflecting drifted Brownian motions are presented. The equations are expressed in terms of tempered Riemann–Liouville type derivatives. For these operators a Marchaud-type form is obtained and a Riesz tempered fractional derivative is examined, together with its Fourier transform.
A one-dimensional stochastic wave equation driven by a general stochastic measure is studied in this paper. The Fourier series expansion of stochastic measures is considered. It is proved that changing the integrator by the corresponding partial sums or by Fejèr sums we obtain the approximations of mild solution of the equation.
Distance covariance is a quantity to measure the dependence of two random vectors. We show that the original concept introduced and developed by Székely, Rizzo and Bakirov can be embedded into a more general framework based on symmetric Lévy measures and the corresponding real-valued continuous negative definite functions. The Lévy measures replace the weight functions used in the original definition of distance covariance. All essential properties of distance covariance are preserved in this new framework.
From a practical point of view this allows less restrictive moment conditions on the underlying random variables and one can use other distance functions than Euclidean distance, e.g. Minkowski distance. Most importantly, it serves as the basic building block for distance multivariance, a quantity to measure and estimate dependence of multiple random vectors, which is introduced in a follow-up paper [Distance Multivariance: New dependence measures for random vectors (submitted). Revised version of arXiv: 1711.07775v1] to the present article.
It is shown that the absolute constant in the Berry–Esseen inequality for i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables is strictly less than the Esseen constant, if $1\le n\le 500000$, where n is a number of summands. This result is got both with the help of a supercomputer and an interpolation theorem, which is proved in the paper as well. In addition, applying the method developed by S. Nagaev and V. Chebotarev in 2009–2011, an upper bound is obtained for the absolute constant in the Berry–Esseen inequality in the case under consideration, which differs from the Esseen constant by no more than 0.06%. As an auxiliary result, we prove a bound in the local Moivre–Laplace theorem which has a simple and explicit form.
Despite the best possible result, obtained by J. Schulz in 2016, we propose our approach to the problem of finding the absolute constant in the Berry–Esseen inequality for two-point distributions since this approach, combining analytical methods and the use of computers, could be useful in solving other mathematical problems.
We consider a family of mixed processes given as the sum of a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in (3/4,1)$ and a multiple of an independent standard Brownian motion, the family being indexed by the scaling factor in front of the Brownian motion. We analyze the underlying markets with methods from large financial markets. More precisely, we show the existence of a strong asymptotic arbitrage (defined as in Kabanov and Kramkov [Finance Stoch. 2(2), 143–172 (1998)]) when the scaling factor converges to zero. We apply a result of Kabanov and Kramkov [Finance Stoch. 2(2), 143–172 (1998)] that characterizes the notion of strong asymptotic arbitrage in terms of the entire asymptotic separation of two sequences of probability measures. The main part of the paper consists of proving the entire separation and is based on a dichotomy result for sequences of Gaussian measures and the concept of relative entropy.
A nonlinear stochastic differential equation with the order of nonlinearity higher than one, with several discrete and distributed delays and time varying coefficients is considered. It is shown that the sufficient conditions for exponential mean square stability of the linear part of the considered nonlinear equation also are sufficient conditions for stability in probability of the initial nonlinear equation. Some new sufficient condition of stability in probability for the zero solution of the considered nonlinear non-autonomous stochastic differential equation is obtained which can be considered as a multi-condition of stability because it allows to get for one considered equation at once several different complementary of each other sufficient stability conditions. The obtained results are illustrated with numerical simulations and figures.
In this paper we present some new limit theorems for power variations of stationary increment Lévy driven moving average processes. Recently, such asymptotic results have been investigated in [Ann. Probab. 45(6B) (2017), 4477–4528, Festschrift for Bernt Øksendal, Stochastics 81(1) (2017), 360–383] under the assumption that the kernel function potentially exhibits a singular behaviour at 0. The aim of this work is to demonstrate how some of the results change when the kernel function has multiple singularity points. Our paper is also related to the article [Stoch. Process. Appl. 125(2) (2014), 653–677] that studied the same mathematical question for the class of Brownian semi-stationary models.