Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications

This paper presents some extensions of recent noncentral moderate deviation results. In the first part, the results in [Statist. Probab. Lett. 185, Paper No. 109424, 8 pp. (2022)] are generalized by considering a general Lévy process $\{S(t):t\ge 0\}$ instead of a compound Poisson process. In the second part, it is assumed that $\{S(t):t\ge 0\}$ has bounded variation and is not a subordinator; thus $\{S(t):t\ge 0\}$ can be seen as the difference of two independent nonnull subordinators. In this way, the results in [Mod. Stoch. Theory Appl. 11, 43–61] for Skellam processes are generalized.

Random functions $\mu (x)$, generated by values of stochastic measures are considered. The Besov regularity of the continuous paths of $\mu (x)$, $x\in {[0,1]^{d}}$, is proved. Fourier series expansion of $\mu (x)$, $x\in [0,2\pi ]$, is obtained. These results are proved under weaker conditions than similar results in previous papers.

The mixed model with polynomial drift of the form $X(t)=\theta \mathcal{P}(t)+\alpha W(t)+\sigma {B_{H}^{n}}(t)$ is studied, where ${B_{H}^{n}}$ is the nth-order fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in (n-1,n)$ and $n\ge 2$, independent of the Wiener process W. The polynomial function $\mathcal{P}$ is known, with degree $d(\mathcal{P})\in [1,n)$. Based on discrete observations and using the ergodic theorem estimates of H, ${\alpha ^{2}}$ and ${\sigma ^{2}}$ are given. Finally, a continuous time maximum likelihood estimator of θ is provided. Both strong consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimators are established.

The paper focuses on the option price subdiffusive model under the unusual behavior of the market, when the price may not be changed for some time, which is a quite common situation in modern illiquid financial markets or during global crises. In the model, the risk-free bond motion and classical geometrical Brownian motion (GBM) are time-changed by an inverted inverse Gaussian($\mathit{IG}$) subordinator. We explore the correlation structure of the subdiffusive GBM stock returns process, discuss option pricing techniques based on the martingale option pricing method and the fractal Dupire equation, and demonstrate how it applies in the case of the $\mathit{IG}$ subordinator.

The structure of dependence between the forward and the backward recurrence times in a renewal process is considered. Monotonicity properties, as a function of time, for the tail of the bivariate distribution for the recurrence times are discussed, as well as their link with aging properties of the interarrival distribution F. A necessary and sufficient condition for the renewal function to be concave is also obtained. Finally, some properties of the conditional tail for one of the two recurrence times, given some information on the other, are studied. The results are illustrated by some numerical examples.

In this note the maximization of the expected terminal wealth for the setup of quadratic transaction costs is considered. First, a very simple probabilistic solution to the problem is provided. Although the problem was largely studied, as far as authors know up to date this simple and probabilistic form of the solution has not appeared in the literature. Next, the general result is applied for the numerical study of the case where the risky asset is given by a fractional Brownian motion and the information flow of the investor can be diversified.