Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications

In this paper we provide a systematic exposition of basic properties of integrated distribution and quantile functions. We define these transforms in such a way that they characterize any probability distribution on the real line and are Fenchel conjugates of each other. We show that uniform integrability, weak convergence and tightness admit a convenient characterization in terms of integrated quantile functions. As an application we demonstrate how some basic results of the theory of comparison of binary statistical experiments can be deduced using integrated quantile functions. Finally, we extend the area of application of the Chacon–Walsh construction in the Skorokhod embedding problem.

The paper deals with a generalization of the risk model with stochastic premiums where dependence structures between claim sizes and inter-claim times as well as premium sizes and inter-premium times are modeled by Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern copulas. In addition, dividends are paid to its shareholders according to a threshold dividend strategy. We derive integral and integro-differential equations for the Gerber–Shiu function and the expected discounted dividend payments until ruin. Next, we concentrate on the detailed investigation of the model in the case of exponentially distributed claim and premium sizes. In particular, we find explicit formulas for the ruin probability in the model without either dividend payments or dependence as well as for the expected discounted dividend payments in the model without dependence. Finally, numerical illustrations are presented.

This paper proves the existence and uniqueness of a solution to doubly reflected backward stochastic differential equations where the coefficient is stochastic Lipschitz, by means of the penalization method.

Stationary processes have been extensively studied in the literature. Their applications include modeling and forecasting numerous real life phenomena such as natural disasters, sales and market movements. When stationary processes are considered, modeling is traditionally based on fitting an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) process. However, we challenge this conventional approach. Instead of fitting an ARMA model, we apply an AR(1) characterization in modeling any strictly stationary processes. Moreover, we derive consistent and asymptotically normal estimators of the corresponding model parameter.

We study the frequency process $f_{1}$ of the block of 1 for a Ξ-coalescent Π with dust. If Π stays infinite, $f_{1}$ is a jump-hold process which can be expressed as a sum of broken parts from a stick-breaking procedure with uncorrelated, but in general non-independent, stick lengths with common mean. For Dirac-Λ-coalescents with $\varLambda =\delta _{p}$, $p\in [\frac{1}{2},1)$, $f_{1}$ is not Markovian, whereas its jump chain is Markovian. For simple Λ-coalescents the distribution of $f_{1}$ at its first jump, the asymptotic frequency of the minimal clade of 1, is expressed via conditionally independent shifted geometric distributions.