Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications

Shafer and Vovk introduce in their book [8] the notion of instant enforcement and instantly blockable properties. However, they do not associate these notions with any outer measure, unlike what Vovk did in the case of sets of “typical” price paths. In this paper an outer measure on the space $[0,+\infty )\times \Omega $ is introduced, which assigns zero value exactly to those sets (properties) of pairs of time t and an elementary event ω which are instantly blockable. Next, for a slightly modified measure, Itô’s isometry and BDG inequalities are proved, and then they are used to define an Itô-type integral. Additionally, few properties are proved for the quadratic variation of model-free continuous martingales, which hold with instant enforcement.

We study asymptotic normality of the randomized periodogram estimator of quadratic variation in the mixed Brownian–fractional Brownian model. In the semimartingale case, that is, where the Hurst parameter H of the fractional part satisfies $H\in (3/4,1)$, the central limit theorem holds. In the nonsemimartingale case, that is, where $H\in (1/2,3/4]$, the convergence toward the normal distribution with a nonzero mean still holds if $H=3/4$, whereas for the other values, that is, $H\in (1/2,3/4)$, the central convergence does not take place. We also provide Berry–Esseen estimates for the estimator.