Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications

Let $({\xi _{1}},{\eta _{1}})$, $({\xi _{2}},{\eta _{2}}),\dots $ be independent identically distributed ${\mathbb{N}^{2}}$-valued random vectors with arbitrarily dependent components. The sequence ${({\Theta _{k}})_{k\in \mathbb{N}}}$ defined by ${\Theta _{k}}={\Pi _{k-1}}\cdot {\eta _{k}}$, where ${\Pi _{0}}=1$ and ${\Pi _{k}}={\xi _{1}}\cdot \dots \cdot {\xi _{k}}$ for $k\in \mathbb{N}$, is called a multiplicative perturbed random walk. Arithmetic properties of the random sets $\{{\Pi _{1}},{\Pi _{2}},\dots ,{\Pi _{k}}\}\subset \mathbb{N}$ and $\{{\Theta _{1}},{\Theta _{2}},\dots ,{\Theta _{k}}\}\subset \mathbb{N}$, $k\in \mathbb{N}$, are studied. In particular, distributional limit theorems for their prime counts and for the least common multiple are derived.

A novel theoretical result on estimation of the local time and the occupation time measure of an α-stable Lévy process with $\alpha \in (1,2)$ is presented. The approach is based upon computing the conditional expectation of the desired quantities given high frequency data, which is an ${L^{2}}$-optimal statistic by construction. The corresponding stable central limit theorems are proved and a statistical application is discussed. In particular, this work extends the results of [20], which investigated the case of the Brownian motion.

The paper presents an analytical proof demonstrating that the Sandwiched Volterra Volatility (SVV) model is able to reproduce the power-law behavior of the at-the-money implied volatility skew, provided the correct choice of the Volterra kernel. To obtain this result, the second-order Malliavin differentiability of the volatility process is assessed and the conditions that lead to explosive behavior in the Malliavin derivative are investigated. As a supplementary result, a general Malliavin product rule is proved.

A time continuous statistical model of chirp signal observed against the background of stationary Gaussian noise is considered in the paper. Asymptotic normality of the LSE for parameters of such a sinusoidal regression model is obtained.

In the Karlin infinite occupancy scheme, balls are thrown independently into an infinite array of boxes $1,2,\dots $ , with probability ${p_{k}}$ of hitting the box k. For $j,n\in \mathbb{N}$, denote by ${\mathcal{K}_{j}^{\ast }}(n)$ the number of boxes containing exactly j balls provided that n balls have been thrown. Small counts are the variables ${\mathcal{K}_{j}^{\ast }}(n)$, with j fixed. The main result is a law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) for the small counts as the number of balls thrown becomes large. Its proof exploits a Poissonization technique and is based on a new LIL for infinite sums of independent indicators ${\textstyle\sum _{k\ge 1}}{1_{{A_{k}}(t)}}$ as $t\to \infty $, where the family of events ${({A_{k}}(t))_{t\ge 0}}$ is not necessarily monotone in t. The latter LIL is an extension of a LIL obtained recently by Buraczewski, Iksanov and Kotelnikova (2023+) in the situation when ${({A_{k}}(t))_{t\ge 0}}$ forms a nondecreasing family of events.