Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications

The term moderate deviations is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a weak convergence to a centered Normal distribution. The notion of noncentral moderate deviations is used when the weak convergence is towards a non-Gaussian distribution. In this paper, noncentral moderate deviation results are presented for two fractional Skellam processes known in the literature (see [20]). It is established that, for the fractional Skellam process of type 2 (for which one can refer to the recent results for compound fractional Poisson processes in [3]), the convergences to zero are usually faster because one can prove suitable inequalities between rate functions.

The term moderate deviations is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a weak convergence to a centered normal distribution. In this paper, some examples of classes of large deviation principles of this kind are presented, but the involved random variables converge weakly to Gumbel, exponential and Laplace distributions.

Suitable families of random variables having power series distributions are considered, and their asymptotic behavior in terms of large (and moderate) deviations is studied. Two examples of fractional counting processes are presented, where the normalizations of the involved power series distributions can be expressed in terms of the Prabhakar function. The first example allows to consider the counting process in [Integral Transforms Spec. Funct. 27 (2016), 783–793], the second one is inspired by a model studied in [J. Appl. Probab. 52 (2015), 18–36].

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. This kind of processes are useful in the study of chain molecular diffusions. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state probabilities of the random variables of the process. Moreover we study independent random time-changes with the inverse of the stable subordinator, the stable subordinator and the tempered stable subordinator. We also present some asymptotic results in the fashion of large deviations. These results give some generalizations of those presented in [Journal of Statistical Physics 154 (2014), 1352–1364].

The Galton–Watson process is the simplest example of a branching process. The relationship between the offspring distribution, and, when the extinction occurs almost surely, the distribution of the total progeny is well known. In this paper, we illustrate the relationship between these two distributions when we consider the large deviation rate function (provided by Cramér’s theorem) for empirical means of i.i.d. random variables. We also consider the case with a random initial population. In the final part, we present large deviation results for sequences of estimators of the offspring mean based on i.i.d. replications of total progeny.