Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications

The term moderate deviations is often used in the literature to mean a class of large deviation principles that, in some sense, fills the gap between a convergence in probability to zero (governed by a large deviation principle) and a weak convergence to a centered Normal distribution. The notion of noncentral moderate deviations is used when the weak convergence is towards a non-Gaussian distribution. In this paper, noncentral moderate deviation results are presented for two fractional Skellam processes known in the literature (see [20]). It is established that, for the fractional Skellam process of type 2 (for which one can refer to the recent results for compound fractional Poisson processes in [3]), the convergences to zero are usually faster because one can prove suitable inequalities between rate functions.

The paper focuses on the option price subdiffusive model under the unusual behavior of the market, when the price may not be changed for some time, which is a quite common situation in modern illiquid financial markets or during global crises. In the model, the risk-free bond motion and classical geometrical Brownian motion (GBM) are time-changed by an inverted inverse Gaussian($\mathit{IG}$) subordinator. We explore the correlation structure of the subdiffusive GBM stock returns process, discuss option pricing techniques based on the martingale option pricing method and the fractal Dupire equation, and demonstrate how it applies in the case of the $\mathit{IG}$ subordinator.