Modern Stochastics: Theory and Applications

In this paper the study of a three-parametric class of Gaussian Volterra processes is continued. This study was started in Part I of the present paper. The class under consideration is a generalization of a fractional Brownian motion that is in fact a one-parametric process depending on Hurst index H. On the one hand, the presence of three parameters gives us a freedom to operate with the processes and we get a wider application possibilities. On the other hand, it leads to the need to apply rather subtle methods, depending on the intervals where the parameters fall. Integration with respect to the processes under consideration is defined, and it is found for which parameters the processes are differentiable. Finally, the Volterra representation is inverted, that is, the representation of the underlying Wiener process via Gaussian Volterra process is found. Therefore, it is shown that for any indices for which Gaussian Volterra process is defined, it generates the same flow of sigma-fields as the underlying Wiener process – the property that has been used many times when considering a fractional Brownian motion.

The existence of the bifractional Brownian motion ${B_{H,K}}$ indexed by a sphere when $K\in (-\infty ,1]\setminus \{0\}$ and $H\in (0,1/2]$ is discussed, and the asymptotics of its excursion probability $\mathbb{P}\left\{{\sup _{M\in \mathbb{S}}}{B_{H,K}}(M)>x\right\}$ as $x\to \infty $ is studied.

The stochastic process of the form is considered, where W is a standard Wiener process, $\alpha >-\frac{1}{2}$, $\gamma >-1$, and $\alpha +\beta +\gamma >-\frac{3}{2}$. It is proved that the process X is well-defined and continuous. The asymptotic properties of the variances and bounds for the variances of the increments of the process X are studied. It is also proved that the process X satisfies the single-point Hölder condition up to order $\alpha +\beta +\gamma +\frac{3}{2}$ at point 0, the “interval” Hölder condition up to order $\min \big(\gamma +\frac{3}{2},\hspace{0.2222em}1\big)$ on the interval $[{t_{0}},T]$ (where $0<{t_{0}}<T$), and the Hölder condition up to order $\min \big(\alpha +\beta +\gamma +\frac{3}{2},\hspace{0.2778em}\gamma +\frac{3}{2},\hspace{0.2778em}1\big)$ on the entire interval $[0,T]$.

A complex-valued linear mixture model is considered for discrete weakly stationary processes. Latent components of interest are recovered, which underwent a linear mixing. Asymptotic properties are studied of a classical unmixing estimator which is based on simultaneous diagonalization of the covariance matrix and an autocovariance matrix with lag τ. The main contributions are asymptotic results that can be applied to a large class of processes. In related literature, the processes are typically assumed to have weak correlations. This class is extended, and the unmixing estimator is considered under stronger dependency structures. In particular, the asymptotic behavior of the unmixing estimator is estimated for both long- and short-range dependent complex-valued processes. Consequently, this theory covers unmixing estimators that converge slower than the usual $\sqrt{T}$ and unmixing estimators that produce non-Gaussian asymptotic distributions. The presented methodology is a powerful preprocessing tool and highly applicable in several fields of statistics.

In this paper, we deal with an Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process driven by sub-fractional Brownian motion of the second kind with Hurst index $H\in (\frac{1}{2},1)$. We provide a least squares estimator (LSE) of the drift parameter based on continuous-time observations. The strong consistency and the upper bound $O(1/\sqrt{n})$ in Kolmogorov distance for central limit theorem of the LSE are obtained. We use a Malliavin–Stein approach for normal approximations.

A problem of drift parameter estimation is studied for a nonergodic weighted fractional Vasicek model defined as $d{X_{t}}=\theta (\mu +{X_{t}})dt+d{B_{t}^{a,b}}$, $t\ge 0$, with unknown parameters $\theta >0$, $\mu \in \mathbb{R}$ and $\alpha :=\theta \mu $, whereas ${B^{a,b}}:=\{{B_{t}^{a,b}},t\ge 0\}$ is a weighted fractional Brownian motion with parameters $a>-1$, $|b|<1$, $|b|<a+1$. Least square-type estimators $({\widetilde{\theta }_{T}},{\widetilde{\mu }_{T}})$ and $({\widetilde{\theta }_{T}},{\widetilde{\alpha }_{T}})$ are provided, respectively, for $(\theta ,\mu )$ and $(\theta ,\alpha )$ based on a continuous-time observation of $\{{X_{t}},\hspace{2.5pt}t\in [0,T]\}$ as $T\to \infty $. The strong consistency and the joint asymptotic distribution of $({\widetilde{\theta }_{T}},{\widetilde{\mu }_{T}})$ and $({\widetilde{\theta }_{T}},{\widetilde{\alpha }_{T}})$ are studied. Moreover, it is obtained that the limit distribution of ${\widetilde{\theta }_{T}}$ is a Cauchy-type distribution, and ${\widetilde{\mu }_{T}}$ and ${\widetilde{\alpha }_{T}}$ are asymptotically normal.

Infinite divisibility of a class of two-dimensional vectors with components in the second Wiener chaos is studied. Necessary and sufficient conditions for infinite divisibility are presented as well as more easily verifiable sufficient conditions. The case where both components consist of a sum of two Gaussian squares is treated in more depth, and it is conjectured that such vectors are infinitely divisible.

In this paper we investigate a problem of large deviations for continuous Volterra processes under the influence of model disturbances. More precisely, we study the behavior, in the near future after T, of a Volterra process driven by a Brownian motion in a case where the Brownian motion is not directly observable, but only a noisy version is observed or some linear functionals of the noisy version are observed. Some examples are discussed in both cases.

We define power variation estimators for the drift parameter of the stochastic heat equation with the fractional Laplacian and an additive Gaussian noise which is white in time and white or correlated in space. We prove that these estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal and we derive their rate of convergence under the Wasserstein metric.

We introduce a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with elliptic operator in divergence form, with measurable and bounded coefficients and driven by space-time white noise. Such SPDEs could be used in mathematical modelling of diffusion phenomena in medium consisting of different kinds of materials and undergoing stochastic perturbations. We characterize the solution and, using the Stein–Malliavin calculus, we prove that the sequence of its recentered and renormalized spatial quadratic variations satisfies an almost sure central limit theorem. Particular focus is given to the interesting case where the coefficients of the operator are piecewise constant.